Understanding The Australian Property Market
The property market in Australia, similar to other countries such as Canada, the United Kingdom and the United States is struggling to know where it will turn in 2010. Many predict an increase in property prices of more than 5% and other experts predict a drop of more 20% or more.
Probably the main determining factor in property prices will be employment. Only people who have a deposit will be able to purchase real estate and new builds if the unemployment rate continues to rise and some predict that unemployment rates will soar to as high as 8%, compared to 4.5% in 2008.
The Reserve Bank of Australia cut interest rates by a huge 3% back in 2008 which helped many people with mortgage repayments and the new strict lending rules, issued by the Australian Government, cut down the amount of mortgages given to people who would struggle to meet the repayments.
The amount of repossessions coming onto the market has also been cut down due to these strict lending rules which have enabled the market to remain stable throughout the last few years.
To help first time buyers get onto the property ladder, the Australian Government now offers first time buyers a grant, however this is only really beneficial if people are able to keep up with their mortgage repayments.
Debt levels are at an all time high in Australia, with more and more people borrowing from banks and credit cards to keep their heads above water. To purchase new properties or new builds will mean taking on extra debt which they obviously can’t.
Many home owners are having a hard time paying their debts and many have lost their full time jobs and are now working only part time. Part time jobs increased by over 40.000 in 2008, whereas full time jobs dropped by 44.000 in the same period.
The world economy is another determining factor that will affect the property market in Australia. Other countries such as European nations, the USA and Japan are all suffering a recession and even the big player, China is experiencing a slow down. All over the world will be affected and Australia will not be left out.
Overall, it will be the unemployment issues that will affect the property market in Australia and although predicted to be generally weak in 2010, it should hold out pretty well for the first 6 months or so but where it heads in the next few years is uncertain.
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